← All work · Case 04
Samwells
A 19-day Shopee CPAS remarketing campaign on a Rp1.8M test budget, about USD 111. Small money. The point is that the forecast held.
What I did
Built the media plan before spending anything. Three custom audiences on view, add-to-cart and purchase windows, with exclusion windows so they couldn't overlap and bid against each other. Budget split evenly across all three so each one was a readable test rather than a guess.
Every input was forecast from the account's own historical CPM, CTR, CVR and AOV: 121 conversions, Rp15.24M purchase value, 8.5 ROAS. Then I ran it and checked my own numbers.
Forecast against actual
Volume beat the forecast by 18% while basket size came in 12% under it. The two nearly cancelled, which is why revenue landed within 3.4% of plan. Knowing which of the two moved is what separates a lucky result from a repeatable one.





Copy led with the bundle price rather than the product. That's what the testing pointed at.